What is T Distribution?

T distribution is the most famous theoretical probability distribution in continuous family of distributions. T distribution is used in estimation where normal distribution cannot be used to estimate population parameters. More specifically T distribution is used in inference of a standardized version of the sample mean when the sample size is very small i.e. less than 30 (even less than 5) and population standard deviation is not known. However for making such inference using t distribution, parent population distribution has to be normal. This t distribution is similar to Normal distribution when few of its properties are compared.

Origin of T Distribution

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The t distribution is developed by famous statistician William Sealy Gosset. During that period, Gosset used to work in Guinness Brewery; a company into business of alcohol beverages. His employer did not allow him or any of their staff to use their own names for publishing any scientific papers. William Gosset used fictitious name ‘Student’ for publication of his paper in Biometrika in year 1908. Hence the T distribution is called Student's T distribution.

Why T Distribution?

Central limit theorem plays important role in determining sampling distribution of any statistic such as sample mean, sample proportion etc. if sample size large enough. Sampling distribution of all such statistic follows normal distribution. But if sample size is small, and many times population standard deviation is not known to us. In such situations, t distribution is of major help. T distribution uses sample size and sample standard deviation in making inference about population mean.

Definition of T Distribution

T distribution is derived theoretically from standard normal distribution and chi square distribution. Let us assume that we have independent standard normal variable Z and variable U having chi square distribution with n degrees of freedom.

Z and U are defined as follows:

image

Now T random variable is defined as:

image

This T has n-1 degrees of freedom. This n can be any positive real number (n > 0), however only integer values of n are of importance.

Degrees of freedom determines the shape of t distribution. There are many T distributions for each degrees of freedom. This degrees of freedom is simply number of independent numbers in given data set. T distribution when used for estimating population mean using one sample with n number of observations, degrees of freedom are n – 1. This is because if we have to find mean of n observations, knowing n – 1 observations or their sum will eventually give us last or nth number in data set. Therefore if we have sample of size 10 available for inference, we have to use 10 – 1 = 9 degrees of freedom.

Derivation of T score using this definition is as follows:

image


Facts and Figures About T Distribution

Probability density function (PDF) of T distribution is given by,

image

Where,

n denotes degrees of freedom and Γ denotes Gamma function.

Γ (n) = (n -1)!

This PDF is also written as:

image

Where, B (1/2, n/2) is Beta function

Probability Density Function

Probability Density Function Plot of T Distribution

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Cumulative Distribution Function

Cumulative distribution function (CDF) is given by,

image

Here 2F1 is hypergeometric function

Cumulative distribution function plot of T distribution

image

Measures of Central Tendency

Measures of central tendency of T distribution are given below:

Mean = 0 for all n > 1

Median = 0

Mode = 0

It shows that random variable t with n degrees of freedom is symmetrically distributed around zero like normal distribution.

Variance and Standard Deviation

Variance and Standard deviation of T distribution

Variance of T distribution is , valid for n /n-2 > 2 only. It is not defined for any other values.

Standard deviation of t distribution is all the time larger than one. Hence comparison of two probability density plots viz. standard normal distribution and t distribution shows that t distribution has larger spread. This comparison is shown in the following image.

image


Moments of T Distribution

All odd order central moments are zero. Hence this distribution is symmetric around zero.

Even order central moments are given below:

image

When r = 1, μ2 = n / (n-2)

When r = 2, μ4 = 3n2 / ((n-2)*(n-4))

Skewness and Kurtosis

For T distribution, β1 = 0, γ1 = 0

Hence T distribution is symmetric or mesokurtic.

β2 = 3(n-2) / (n-4)   > 3

γ2 = 6 / (n-4)   > 0

Hence T distribution is Leptokurtic in nature.

Properties of T Distribution

  • T distribution is symmetric around zero and its shape resembles that of normal distribution.
  • T distribution has support from – infinity to infinity.
  • T distribution changes as its degrees of freedom changes.
  • T distribution is unimodal.
  • Area under t distribution curve is 100% or 1.0 and the T curve never touches the horizontal line on either side.
  • T distribution curve increases up to reaching zero i.e. from (-∞, 0) and then decreases from zero onwards i.e. from (0, ∞).
  • As sample size or degrees of freedom for t distribution increases, the T distribution take up the normal distribution.
  • Random sample from T distribution can be done by Monte Carlo Sampling method.

Relation between t distribution and F distribution

T distribution and F distribution are related to each other by the one relation. If X follows t distribution with n degrees of freedom then X2 follows F distribution with 1 and n degrees of freedom. i.e.

X ~ tn then X2 ~ F (1,n)

Limiting Distribution of T

If a random variable follows T distribution with n degrees of freedom, then as n →∞, the probability distribution of T distribution tends to standard normal distribution.


Special Case of T Distribution

When T distribution has degrees of freedom (n) = 1, then the produced distribution is Cauchy distribution. Its PDF is given by,

image

Noncentral T Distribution

T distribution has both central and noncentral forms which depends on noncentrality parameter, δ. If this δ is zero, then the resulting distribution is regular Student’s t distribution. However if this δ is not equal to zero, resulting distribution is noncentral Student’s t distribution. This noncentral t distribution is skewed distribution unlike central student’s t distribution and it is skewed in direction of noncentrality parameter.

The noncentral t distribution has n degrees of freedom and noncentrality parameter δ and its form is as given below.

image

Multivariate T Distribution

Multivariate student’s T distribution is generalization of univariate student’s t distribution. It has three parameters viz. matrix of μ, covariance matrix Σ and degrees of freedom n.

Its PDF is given by,

image

Uses and Applications of T Distribution

T distribution plays important role in inference theory where estimation of unknown location parameter is done using Statistical T tests. T tests are of different types. T tests (based on Student’s t distribution) are preferred over Z tests (based on normal distribution) when population standard deviation (σ) is not known and sample size is very small. In case sample size is large (n > 30), we can use Normal distribution i.e. Z tests for inference of population mean even if population standard deviation is not known based on Central Limit Theorem.

There are certain assumptions which must be satisfied if we want to use Student’s t tests. These assumptions are listed below.

  • All observations in given sample must be independent of each other.
  • Population from which sample is drawn must have been normally distributed population.
  • Standard deviation of population distribution (σ) should not be known.
  • Sample size used must be small (n < 30).
  • The hypothetical value is correct value of population mean.
  • All the sample observations are correctly measured and recorded.

Hypothesis testing and confidence interval are equivalent forms in statistical inference. Types of statistical t tests and corresponding confidence intervals are listed below:

Hypothesis Test for Single Population Mean

When sample size (n) is small and population standard deviation (σ) is not given, we can use one sample T test for determining significance of population mean. Brief steps for this T test are described below:

Hypothesis to be tested:

Null Hypothesis: µ = µ0

Alternative Hypothesis: µ ≠ µ0 (It can be ≠ or > or < depending upon direction of Research hypothesis)

 Test statistic =  image

Rejection Rule: Reject the null hypothesis if test statistic (t) falls in rejection region.

Formula for confidence interval for mean (µ) is given below:

image

Hypothesis Test for Difference between two Independent Population Means

When we have to compare two samples drawn from independent populations, and when both population’s variances are not known, we can use independent samples T tests. There are two types for this independent sample t test.

Independent samples T test assuming unknown but equal population variances

Hypothesis to be tested:

Null Hypothesis: µ1 = µ2

Alternative Hypothesis: µ1 ≠ µ2

Test statistic =image

Where Sp is pooled estimate for standard deviation and it is calculated as follows:

image

Rejection rule: Reject the null hypothesis if test statistic (t) falls in rejection region.

Formula for confidence interval for difference in means  when population standard deviations are unknown and equal is given below:

image

Independent samples T test assuming unknown and unequal population variances

Hypothesis to be tested:

Null Hypothesis: µ1 = µ2

Alternative Hypothesis: µ1 ≠ µ2

image

The degree of freedom is given by, DF image

Rejection Rule: Reject the null hypothesis if test statistic (t) falls in rejection region.

Formula for confidence interval for difference in means µ1 - µ2 when population standard deviations are unknown and unequal is given below:

image

Hypothesis Test for Difference Between two Dependent Population Means

When we have to compare two samples drawn from dependent populations, we can use dependent samples T tests. It is also known as repeated measures T test or paired T test.

Hypothesis to be tested:

Null Hypothesis: µd = 0

Alternative Hypothesis: µd ≠ 0

Test statistic = image

Where standard deviation of imageis given by formula image

Rejection Rule: Reject the null hypothesis if test statistic (T) falls in rejection region.

Formula for confidence interval for paired difference is given below:

image

Hypothesis Test for Linear Correlation Coefficient

When we have to determine significance of linear correlation coefficient, test based on t distribution is used as follows.

Hypothesis to be tested:

Null Hypothesis: ρ = 0

Alternative Hypothesis: ρ ≠ 0

Test statistic =image

Where r denotes sample correlation coefficient.

Rejection Rule: Reject the null hypothesis if test statistic (t) falls in rejection region.


Rejection Regions and Critical Values for T Distribution

Critical values for t statistic are calculated using cumulative probabilities. Critical value with 5% level of significance is denoted as t0.05. These values depends on whether test is right tailed, left tailed or two tailed. Also since T distribution is symmetric, critical value to the right side of distribution with specific alpha, is equal to critical value to the left side of distribution. For example two critical values corresponding to 10 degrees of freedom and 5% level of significance are t0.05,10 = 1.812 and t0.95,10 = -1.812.


Rejection Region Curves for one Tailed and Two Tailed Tests:

  • Rejection region for two tailed hypothesis test showing critical values for given level of significance (α = 0.05) and degrees of freedom 10 is shown below.

image

  • Rejection region for right tailed hypothesis test showing critical values for given level of significance (α = 0.05) and degrees of freedom 10 is shown below.

image

  • Rejection region for left tailed hypothesis test showing critical values for given level of significance (α = 0.05) and degrees of freedom 10 is shown below.

image

Comparison of critical values for different t distributions shown below suggests that as degrees of freedom increases, curve approaches to bell shaped normal curve.

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These critical values for t distribution can be calculated in Excel, Minitab, SPSS, R or any other statistical package very easily.

T distribution in Excel

To determine T critical values using Excel, use function:

TINV(probability,deg_freedom)

It gives critical value for the probability associated with the two-tailed Student's T-distribution and corresponding degrees of freedom.

To determine p value, use function in Excel:

TDIST(x,deg_freedom,tails)

It gives p value for the numeric value at which we want to evaluate the distribution for given degrees of freedom and one tailed or two tailed test.

T distribution in R can be calculated by using command:

dt(x, df, ncp, log = FALSE)

T distribution in SAS can be calculated by using command:

probt(t-statistic, df)

T Distribution Table

T distribution table is given below:

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This T table can be used for given alpha from row 1 and row 2 based on one tailed and two tailed test for corresponding degrees of freedom.

T Distribution Calculators

There are various calculators available online which gives these T critical values, computes T test statistic and solves these T tests online similar to statistical packages. We need to input values as per required formats in these calculator

T distribution in Bayesian inference:

In Bayesian inference, posterior distribution of any unknown parameter is estimated by using prior distribution and likelihood of given data. T distribution is the posterior distribution for unknown mean μ of normally distributed population when conjugate prior is used. In general prior for normal distribution when used together with chi square distribution prior for variance part, T distribution arises as marginal distribution for μ.

T distribution can also be used in robust parametric modelling in substituting normal distribution when normal distribution is inappropriate.

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